Tychomancy: Inferring Probability From Causal Structure
Please refer to the section BELOW (and NOT ABOVE) this line for the product details - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Title:Tychomancy: Inferring Probability From Causal StructureISBN13:9780674073111ISBN10:0674073118Author:Strevens, Michael (Author)Description:Tychomancy--Meaning The Divination Of Chances--Presents A Set Of Rules For Inferring The Physical Probabilities Of Outcomes From The Causal Or Dynamic Properties Of The Systems That Produce Them Probabilities Revealed By The Rules Are Wide-Ranging: They Include The Probability Of Getting A 5 On A Die Roll, The Probability Distributions Found In Statistical Physics, And The Probabilities That Underlie Many Prima Facie Judgments About Fitness In Evolutionary Biology Michael Strevens Makes Three Claims About The Rules First, They Are Reliable Second, They Are Known, Though Not Fully Consciously, To All Human Beings: They Constitute A Key Part Of The Physical Intuition That Allows Us To Navigate Around The World Safely In The Absence Of Formal Scientific Knowledge Third, They Have Played A Crucial But Unrecognized Role In Several Major Scientific Innovations A Large Part Of Tychomancy Is Devoted To This Historical Role For Probability Inference Rules Strevens First Analyzes James Clerk Maxwell's Extraordinary, Apparently A Priori, Deduction Of The Molecular Velocity Distribution In Gases, Which Launched Statistical Physics Maxwell Did Not Derive His Distribution From Logic Alone, Strevens Proposes, But Rather From Probabilistic Knowledge Common To All Human Beings, Even Infants As Young As Six Months Old Strevens Then Turns To Darwin's Theory Of Natural Selection, The Statistics Of Measurement, And The Creation Of Models Of Complex Systems, Contending In Each Case That These Elements Of Science Could Not Have Emerged When Or How They Did Without The Ability To Eyeball The Values Of Physical Probabilities Binding:Hardcover, HardcoverPublisher:Harvard University PressPublication Date:2013-06-03Weight:1.25 lbsDimensions:1.1'' H x 9.3'' L x 6.3'' WNumber of Pages:265Language:English
Specifications
| Return Shipping Will Be Paid By | Buyer |
| All Returns Accepted | Returns Accepted |
| Item Must Be Returned Within | 30 Days |
| Refund Will Be Given As | Money Back |
| Item Length | 9.5in |
| Item Height | 1in |
| Item Width | 6.5in |
| Author | Michael Strevens |
| Format | Hardcover |
| Language | English |
| Publication Year | 2013 |
| Type | Textbook |
| Item Weight | 19.9 Oz |
| Number Of Pages | 250 Pages |
Please refer to the section BELOW (and NOT ABOVE) this line for the product details – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Title:Tychomancy: Inferring Probability From Causal StructureISBN13:9780674073111ISBN10:0674073118Author:Strevens, Michael (Author)Description:Tychomancy–Meaning The Divination Of Chances–Presents A Set Of Rules For Inferring The Physical Probabilities Of Outcomes From The Causal Or Dynamic Properties Of The Systems That Produce Them Probabilities Revealed By The Rules Are Wide-Ranging: They Include The Probability Of Getting A 5 On A Die Roll, The Probability Distributions Found In Statistical Physics, And The Probabilities That Underlie Many Prima Facie Judgments About Fitness In Evolutionary Biology Michael Strevens Makes Three Claims About The Rules First, They Are Reliable Second, They Are Known, Though Not Fully Consciously, To All Human Beings: They Constitute A Key Part Of The Physical Intuition That Allows Us To Navigate Around The World Safely In The Absence Of Formal Scientific Knowledge Third, They Have Played A Crucial But Unrecognized Role In Several Major Scientific Innovations A Large Part Of Tychomancy Is Devoted To This Historical Role For Probability Inference Rules Strevens First Analyzes James Clerk Maxwell’s Extraordinary, Apparently A Priori, Deduction Of The Molecular Velocity Distribution In Gases, Which Launched Statistical Physics Maxwell Did Not Derive His Distribution From Logic Alone, Strevens Proposes, But Rather From Probabilistic Knowledge Common To All Human Beings, Even Infants As Young As Six Months Old Strevens Then Turns To Darwin’s Theory Of Natural Selection, The Statistics Of Measurement, And The Creation Of Models Of Complex Systems, Contending In Each Case That These Elements Of Science Could Not Have Emerged When Or How They Did Without The Ability To Eyeball The Values Of Physical Probabilities Binding:Hardcover, HardcoverPublisher:Harvard University PressPublication Date:2013-06-03Weight:1.25 lbsDimensions:1.1» H x 9.3» L x 6.3» WNumber of Pages:265Language:English
